Bill Gates changes stance on climate change: 'Won't lead to humanity's...'

Bill Gates , once one of the most prominent voices warning that climate change could spark catastrophic destruction and even threaten civilisation, has shifted to a more optimistic outlook. In a new blog post, the Microsoft co-founder argues that global warming, while still a major challenge, will not lead to humanity’s extinction. Instead of “doomsday narratives”, Gates says the world should focus on improving human welfare and accelerating innovation. The comments mark a notable tonal change from a billionaire who spent years urging urgent action to avoid what he called a looming climate disaster.


Bill Gates’ optimism about survival of humanity
Gates has spent more than a decade funding climate science, clean-tech companies and research into reducing emissions. He previously compared climate change to pandemics and other existential threats. But he now says the framing must shift away from panic.

According to him, the key question should not be simply how much temperatures rise but how effectively humans adapt, protect vulnerable communities and reduce long-term risks.

He emphasises that most people will still be able to “live and thrive”, even in a warmer world.

Gates argues that scientific progress and new technologies are expanding what is possible:

• Rapid growth in clean energy solutions such as renewables and battery storage
• Advances in agriculture that can protect crops from heat and drought
• Increased focus on innovation rather than fear-based messaging
• Stronger global awareness and political attention on climate action

He maintains that there is still a significant threat to the world’s poorest populations, who have less capacity to adapt.


Critics point to contradictions
Despite his optimism, Gates has faced scrutiny over his lifestyle. He frequently travels on a private jet that produces large carbon emissions.

He acknowledges this, but claims he offsets his flights through “legitimate carbon credits”. Environmental campaigners argue such credits are not equivalent to reducing emissions at the source.

Others say his shift risks reducing urgency at a time when activists are demanding more aggressive action from governments and corporations.


Investing in solutions, not fear
Gates continues to back ambitious projects:

• Climate-friendly alternatives to cement, steel and aviation fuel
• Carbon capture, which removes CO₂ directly from the air
• Solar geoengineering, a controversial technology to reflect sunlight away from Earth
• Support for climate adaptation in low-income countries

He argues the priority must be measurable progress in human welfare, not just emissions charts and worst-case scenarios.

Climate scientists agree that global warming brings serious dangers: rising seas, extreme weather, biodiversity loss and displacement. Gates does not dispute this.

But he believes messaging must avoid paralysis and despair. Instead of forecasting an inevitable apocalypse, he encourages optimism grounded in effort, adaptation and scientific advancement.